Every pull is graded like a collectible card: tier, wear, float and pattern sealed on a slab. Classified and rarer pulls get a foil.
Winter Offensive Weapon Case
The Winter Offensive Weapon Case puts AWP | Redline, M4A1-S | Guardian and P250 | Mehndi in its classified tier, which comes up on 3.2% of opens. Covert is the next step up: M4A4 | Asiimov and Sawed-Off | The Kraken split 0.6% between them.
At the top is a rare special tier made only of knives, 65 finishes in all. The case has StatTrak versions.
Restricted and mil-spec skins fill out the rest of the case. The simulator rolls every open from these odds, and no open depends on the one before it.
- Key
- $2.49
- Case
- $8.60
- EV per open
- $6.32
- ROI
- 57.0%
Blended from marketplace data, such as Skinport, the Steam Community Market and other price APIs: a median of recent sales with a minimum volume.
How prices workFree simulation: no real items, nothing to buy, no cash value.
This session
- Opened
- 0
- Would have cost
- $0.00
- Profit
- $0.00
Latest pull
- Value
- $0.00
- Return
- 0.0%
- Unpriced
- 0
Drops 0
Open a case and your drops land here.
Bulk open
Open up to 1,000 cases at once with no reel, and see how the run compares with the case's EV.
Expected value
$6.32per open
- ROI
- 57.0%
- Profit chance
- 11.6%
- Case
- $8.60
- Key
- $2.49
One open costs $11.09: the case and its key.
EV and ROI are gross, before marketplace fees.
Odds by rarity
Valve published odds- Knife or glove chance
- 1 in 385
| Rarity | Odds | Items |
|---|---|---|
| Rare Special Item | 0.26% | 65 |
| Covert | 0.64% | 2 |
| Classified | 3.20% | 3 |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 4 |
| Mil-Spec Grade | 79.92% | 4 |
What the case holds
Rare Special Item
- ★ Bayonet Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Blue Steel Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Boreal Forest Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Crimson Web Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Fade Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Forest DDPAT Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Night Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Safari Mesh Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Scorched Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Slaughter Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Stained Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Urban Masked Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Blue Steel Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Boreal Forest Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Case Hardened Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Crimson Web Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Fade Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Night Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Safari Mesh Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Scorched Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Slaughter Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Stained Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Urban Masked Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Blue Steel Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Boreal Forest Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Crimson Web Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Fade Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Forest DDPAT Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Night Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Scorched Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Slaughter Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Stained Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Urban Masked Rare Special
- ★ Karambit Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Blue Steel Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Boreal Forest Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Case Hardened Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Crimson Web Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Fade Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Night Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Safari Mesh Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Scorched Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Slaughter Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Stained Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Urban Masked Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Night Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Safari Mesh Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Stained Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked Rare Special
Covert
- M4A4 | Asiimov Covert
- Sawed-Off | The Kraken Covert
Classified
- AWP | Redline Classified
- M4A1-S | Guardian Classified
- P250 | Mehndi Classified
Restricted
- Dual Berettas | Marina Restricted
- FAMAS | Pulse Restricted
- MP9 | Rose Iron Restricted
- Nova | Rising Skull Restricted
Mil-Spec Grade
- Five-SeveN | Kami Mil-Spec
- Galil AR | Sandstorm Mil-Spec
- M249 | Magma Mil-Spec
- PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone Mil-Spec
Questions
- What is inside the Winter Offensive Weapon Case?
- The case holds 13 weapon skins under its knife tier. Below the classified skins come the restricted Dual Berettas | Marina, FAMAS | Pulse, MP9 | Rose Iron and Nova | Rising Skull, and then the mil-spec Five-SeveN | Kami, Galil AR | Sandstorm, M249 | Magma and PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone.
- What knife can you get from the Winter Offensive Weapon Case?
- Any of ★ Bayonet, ★ Flip Knife, ★ Gut Knife, ★ Karambit and ★ M9 Bayonet. They share one set of finishes, so every type exists in patterns such as ★ Karambit | Crimson Web, ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade, ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened and ★ Gut Knife | Night, and in a version with no finish at all.
- When was the Winter Offensive Weapon Case released?
- The Winter Offensive Weapon Case first appeared in the game on December 18, 2013. Its 65 knife finishes cover every knife type in the case: ★ Flip Knife | Fade, ★ Bayonet | Slaughter, ★ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel, ★ Karambit | Stained and ★ Gut Knife | Scorched are a few of them, one for each type.
- What is the drop rate for the Winter Offensive Weapon Case?
- Mil-spec skins drop on 79.9% of opens, restricted skins on 16% and a knife of any type on 0.3%. Those are rates per tier: an open settles on a tier and then on one item in it, so a single finish such as ★ Karambit | Slaughter is far less likely than its tier.
- Is the Winter Offensive Weapon Case worth opening?
- The answer changes with prices, so it lives in the expected value block on this page: the average item value an open produces at these odds, before fees, measured against the price of the case and its key. ROI and profit chance are computed next to it, with no verdict from us.
