Knifeless sim slab
Every pull is graded like a collectible card: tier, wear, float and pattern sealed on a slab. Classified and rarer pulls get a foil.
Operation Vanguard Weapon Case
The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case carries a rare special pool of 65 knife finishes, built on ★ Karambit, ★ M9 Bayonet, ★ Bayonet, ★ Flip Knife and ★ Gut Knife. All of them share one finish list, from ★ Karambit | Fade to ★ Bayonet | Night, and each also drops with no finish at all. The pool comes up on 0.3% of opens.
Below it, the covert tier pairs AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel with P2000 | Fire Elemental at 0.6%. The classified tier holds P250 | Cartel, SCAR-20 | Cardiac and XM1014 | Tranquility at 3.2%. The case has StatTrak versions.
Restricted skins come up on 16% of opens and mil-spec skins on 79.9%.
- Key
- $2.49
- Case
- $4.26
- EV per open
- $4.14
- ROI
- 61.3%
Aggregated market prices, updated UTC
Blended from marketplace data, such as Skinport, the Steam Community Market and other price APIs: a median of recent sales with a minimum volume.
How prices workFree simulation: no real items, nothing to buy, no cash value.
This session
- Opened
- 0
- Would have cost
- $0.00
- Profit
- $0.00
Latest pull
- Value
- $0.00
- Return
- 0.0%
- Unpriced
- 0
Drops 0
Open a case and your drops land here.
Bulk open
Open up to 1,000 cases at once with no reel, and see how the run compares with the case's EV.
Expected value
$4.14per open
- ROI
- 61.3%
- Profit chance
- 10.6%
- Case
- $4.26
- Key
- $2.49
One open costs $6.75: the case and its key.
EV and ROI are gross, before marketplace fees.
Odds by rarity
Valve published odds- Knife or glove chance
- 1 in 385
| Rarity | Odds | Items |
|---|---|---|
| Rare Special Item | 0.26% | 65 |
| Covert | 0.64% | 2 |
| Classified | 3.20% | 3 |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 4 |
| Mil-Spec Grade | 79.92% | 5 |
What the case holds
Rare Special Item
- ★ Bayonet Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Blue Steel Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Boreal Forest Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Crimson Web Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Fade Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Forest DDPAT Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Night Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Safari Mesh Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Scorched Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Slaughter Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Stained Rare Special
- ★ Bayonet | Urban Masked Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Blue Steel Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Boreal Forest Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Case Hardened Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Crimson Web Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Fade Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Night Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Safari Mesh Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Scorched Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Slaughter Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Stained Rare Special
- ★ Flip Knife | Urban Masked Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Blue Steel Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Boreal Forest Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Crimson Web Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Fade Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Forest DDPAT Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Night Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Scorched Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Slaughter Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Stained Rare Special
- ★ Gut Knife | Urban Masked Rare Special
- ★ Karambit Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Blue Steel Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Boreal Forest Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Case Hardened Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Crimson Web Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Fade Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Night Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Safari Mesh Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Scorched Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Slaughter Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Stained Rare Special
- ★ Karambit | Urban Masked Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Fade Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Night Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Safari Mesh Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Stained Rare Special
- ★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked Rare Special
Covert
- AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel Covert
- P2000 | Fire Elemental Covert
Classified
- P250 | Cartel Classified
- SCAR-20 | Cardiac Classified
- XM1014 | Tranquility Classified
Restricted
- Glock-18 | Grinder Restricted
- M4A1-S | Basilisk Restricted
- M4A4 | Griffin Restricted
- Sawed-Off | Highwayman Restricted
Mil-Spec Grade
- Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard Mil-Spec
- G3SG1 | Murky Mil-Spec
- MAG-7 | Firestarter Mil-Spec
- MP9 | Dart Mil-Spec
- UMP-45 | Delusion Mil-Spec
Questions
- What skins are in the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?
- It holds 14 weapon skins. Under the covert and classified ones, the restricted tier has M4A4 | Griffin, M4A1-S | Basilisk, Glock-18 | Grinder and Sawed-Off | Highwayman, and the mil-spec tier has MAG-7 | Firestarter, Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard, MP9 | Dart, UMP-45 | Delusion and G3SG1 | Murky.
- What knife can you get from the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?
- Any of the knife types in its pool, in finishes that include ★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web, ★ Bayonet | Case Hardened, ★ Flip Knife | Slaughter and ★ Gut Knife | Blue Steel. Camo finishes such as ★ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh and ★ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest sit in the same tier and are rolled from the same odds as the rest.
- What are the odds of a knife from the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?
- A knife drops on 0.3% of opens, against 0.6% for the covert pair. Every open is rolled independently, so a long stretch in the simulator without a knife leaves the next open's odds exactly where they were.
- Can you get a karambit from the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case?
- Yes. Karambits are one of the knife types in its rare special tier, in finishes such as ★ Karambit | Case Hardened, ★ Karambit | Crimson Web and ★ Karambit | Slaughter. The knife odds apply to the tier as a whole, and one given karambit finish takes only a small share of them.
- When was the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case released?
- Its release date is November 11, 2014. The rare special tier lists 65 knife finishes, more than the 14 weapon skins across all of its other tiers, and among them are ★ Flip Knife | Fade, ★ M9 Bayonet | Night, ★ Karambit | Stained, ★ Gut Knife | Scorched and ★ Bayonet | Urban Masked.
- Is the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case worth it?
- We leave that to the expected value block on this page, measured before fees: the average value of one open under these odds, set against the price of the case plus a key. ROI and profit chance beside it are read from the same price snapshot.