Shadow Case

AK-47 | Frontside Misty, SSG 08 | Big Iron and G3SG1 | Flux make up the classified tier of the Shadow Case, which drops on 3.2% of opens. It is the tier just under the covert pair, M4A1-S | Golden Coil and USP-S | Kill Confirmed, which share 0.6%.

Restricted skins drop on 16%. Above everything sits the rare special tier: 13 versions of a single knife, ★ Shadow Daggers, counting the plain vanilla pair with no finish on it. The case has StatTrak versions and was released on September 17, 2015.

The simulator uses these same tier odds for every open of this case, bulk opens included.

Key
$2.49
Case
$1.45
EV per open
$2.01
ROI
51.0%
Aggregated market prices, updated UTC

Blended from marketplace data, such as Skinport, the Steam Community Market and other price APIs: a median of recent sales with a minimum volume.

How prices work

Free simulation: no real items, nothing to buy, no cash value.

This session

Opened
0
Would have cost
$0.00
Profit
$0.00

Latest pull

Knifeless sim slab

Every pull is graded like a collectible card: tier, wear, float and pattern sealed on a slab. Classified and rarer pulls get a foil.

Sealed

Value
$0.00
Return
0.0%
Unpriced
0

Drops 0

Open a case and your drops land here.

Aggregated market prices, updated UTC

Blended from marketplace data, such as Skinport, the Steam Community Market and other price APIs: a median of recent sales with a minimum volume.

How prices work

Unpriced drops are counted apart: their cost counts in what the opens would have cost and in the return, their unknown value does not.

Bulk open

Open up to 1,000 cases at once with no reel, and see how the run compares with the case's EV.

Expected value

$2.01per open

ROI
51.0%
Profit chance
7.0%
Case
$1.45
Key
$2.49

One open costs $3.94: the case and its key.

EV and ROI are gross, before marketplace fees.

Odds by rarity

Valve published odds
Knife or glove chance
1 in 385
Valve's published odds for each rarity in this case, with the number of items in each
RarityOddsItems
Rare Special Item0.26%13
Covert0.64%2
Classified3.20%3
Restricted15.98%4
Mil-Spec Grade79.92%7
Aggregated market prices, updated UTC

Blended from marketplace data, such as Skinport, the Steam Community Market and other price APIs: a median of recent sales with a minimum volume.

How prices work

What the case holds

Rare Special Item

  • ★ Shadow Daggers
    ★ Shadow Daggers Rare Special
  • ★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel
    ★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel Rare Special
  • ★ Shadow Daggers | Boreal Forest
    ★ Shadow Daggers | Boreal Forest Rare Special
  • ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened
    ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened Rare Special
  • ★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web
    ★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web Rare Special
  • ★ Shadow Daggers | Fade
    ★ Shadow Daggers | Fade Rare Special
  • ★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT
    ★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT Rare Special
  • ★ Shadow Daggers | Night
    ★ Shadow Daggers | Night Rare Special
  • ★ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh
    ★ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh Rare Special
  • ★ Shadow Daggers | Scorched
    ★ Shadow Daggers | Scorched Rare Special
  • ★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter
    ★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter Rare Special
  • ★ Shadow Daggers | Stained
    ★ Shadow Daggers | Stained Rare Special
  • ★ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked
    ★ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked Rare Special

Covert

  • M4A1-S | Golden Coil
    M4A1-S | Golden Coil Covert
  • USP-S | Kill Confirmed
    USP-S | Kill Confirmed Covert

Classified

  • AK-47 | Frontside Misty
    AK-47 | Frontside Misty Classified
  • G3SG1 | Flux
    G3SG1 | Flux Classified
  • SSG 08 | Big Iron
    SSG 08 | Big Iron Classified

Restricted

  • Galil AR | Stone Cold
    Galil AR | Stone Cold Restricted
  • M249 | Nebula Crusader
    M249 | Nebula Crusader Restricted
  • MP7 | Special Delivery
    MP7 | Special Delivery Restricted
  • P250 | Wingshot
    P250 | Wingshot Restricted

Mil-Spec Grade

  • Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons
    Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons Mil-Spec
  • FAMAS | Survivor Z
    FAMAS | Survivor Z Mil-Spec
  • Glock-18 | Wraiths
    Glock-18 | Wraiths Mil-Spec
  • MAC-10 | Rangeen
    MAC-10 | Rangeen Mil-Spec
  • MAG-7 | Cobalt Core
    MAG-7 | Cobalt Core Mil-Spec
  • SCAR-20 | Green Marine
    SCAR-20 | Green Marine Mil-Spec
  • XM1014 | Scumbria
    XM1014 | Scumbria Mil-Spec

Questions

What is the Shadow Case and what does it contain?
A weapon case whose skins run from mil-spec up to the covert pair, with a knife tier on top made of one knife type. Its restricted skins are Galil AR | Stone Cold, MP7 | Special Delivery, M249 | Nebula Crusader and P250 | Wingshot.
What knife drops from the Shadow Case?
Only one knife type drops from it. Its finishes include ★ Shadow Daggers | Fade, ★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter, ★ Shadow Daggers | Night and ★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel, alongside camo finishes such as ★ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked and ★ Shadow Daggers | Boreal Forest. Glove finishes are not part of the pool.
What is the drop rate for ★ Shadow Daggers finishes?
The whole knife tier drops on 0.3% of opens. A finish is chosen only after the open lands in that tier, so a named version such as ★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened or ★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web has just a part of that chance, shared with the other finishes in the pool.
What skins are in the Shadow Case?
Mil-spec, at 79.9% of opens, is where Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons, FAMAS | Survivor Z, Glock-18 | Wraiths, MAC-10 | Rangeen, MAG-7 | Cobalt Core, SCAR-20 | Green Marine and XM1014 | Scumbria sit. Counting the restricted, classified and covert skins too, the case lists 16 weapon skins in total.