Every pull is graded like a collectible card: tier, wear, float and pattern sealed on a slab. Classified and rarer pulls get a foil.
Operation Wildfire Case
The Operation Wildfire Case puts AWP | Elite Build, Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon and Nova | Hyper Beast in its classified tier, which drops on 3.2% of opens. One step up, AK-47 | Fuel Injector and M4A4 | The Battlestar share the covert odds of 0.6%, the rarest of its weapon skins.
The rare special tier holds a single knife type. All 13 of its items are Bowie knives, from the plain ★ Bowie Knife to finishes such as ★ Bowie Knife | Fade and ★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web. So every knife this case gives is a Bowie, whatever the finish.
The case has StatTrak versions, which add a kill counter to the weapon.
- Key
- $2.49
- Case
- $2.56
- EV per open
- $2.96
- ROI
- 58.6%
Blended from marketplace data, such as Skinport, the Steam Community Market and other price APIs: a median of recent sales with a minimum volume.
How prices workFree simulation: no real items, nothing to buy, no cash value.
This session
- Opened
- 0
- Would have cost
- $0.00
- Profit
- $0.00
Latest pull
- Value
- $0.00
- Return
- 0.0%
- Unpriced
- 0
Drops 0
Open a case and your drops land here.
Bulk open
Open up to 1,000 cases at once with no reel, and see how the run compares with the case's EV.
Expected value
$2.96per open
- ROI
- 58.6%
- Profit chance
- 7.5%
- Case
- $2.56
- Key
- $2.49
One open costs $5.05: the case and its key.
EV and ROI are gross, before marketplace fees.
Odds by rarity
Valve published odds- Knife or glove chance
- 1 in 385
| Rarity | Odds | Items |
|---|---|---|
| Rare Special Item | 0.26% | 13 |
| Covert | 0.64% | 2 |
| Classified | 3.20% | 3 |
| Restricted | 15.98% | 5 |
| Mil-Spec Grade | 79.92% | 6 |
What the case holds
Rare Special Item
- ★ Bowie Knife Rare Special
- ★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel Rare Special
- ★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest Rare Special
- ★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened Rare Special
- ★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web Rare Special
- ★ Bowie Knife | Fade Rare Special
- ★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT Rare Special
- ★ Bowie Knife | Night Rare Special
- ★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh Rare Special
- ★ Bowie Knife | Scorched Rare Special
- ★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter Rare Special
- ★ Bowie Knife | Stained Rare Special
- ★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked Rare Special
Covert
- AK-47 | Fuel Injector Covert
- M4A4 | The Battlestar Covert
Classified
- AWP | Elite Build Classified
- Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon Classified
- Nova | Hyper Beast Classified
Restricted
- FAMAS | Valence Restricted
- Five-SeveN | Triumvirate Restricted
- Glock-18 | Royal Legion Restricted
- MAG-7 | Praetorian Restricted
- MP7 | Impire Restricted
Mil-Spec Grade
- Dual Berettas | Cartel Mil-Spec
- MAC-10 | Lapis Gator Mil-Spec
- PP-Bizon | Photic Zone Mil-Spec
- SSG 08 | Necropos Mil-Spec
- Tec-9 | Jambiya Mil-Spec
- USP-S | Lead Conduit Mil-Spec
Questions
- What is the Operation Wildfire Case?
- It is a CS2 weapon case with 16 weapon skins across the mil-spec, restricted, classified and covert tiers, plus a rare special tier made only of Bowie knives. The simulator rolls it against the same tier odds as the game, one open at a time.
- What is the rare special item in the Operation Wildfire Case?
- It is the Bowie knife, and no other knife type shares the tier. Beyond the plain version, the pool has finishes such as ★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter, ★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened, ★ Bowie Knife | Night and ★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel, 13 items in all.
- What skins are in the Operation Wildfire Case?
- The restricted skins, at 16% of opens, are Glock-18 | Royal Legion, FAMAS | Valence, Five-SeveN | Triumvirate, MAG-7 | Praetorian and MP7 | Impire. The mil-spec tier, at 79.9%, has USP-S | Lead Conduit, SSG 08 | Necropos, Tec-9 | Jambiya, MAC-10 | Lapis Gator, Dual Berettas | Cartel and PP-Bizon | Photic Zone. Add the classified and covert skins and that is the full lineup of 16.
- What is the Operation Wildfire Case drop rate for the Bowie knife?
- A Bowie knife of any finish lands on 0.3% of opens. With one knife type in the tier, that figure is the whole chance of a Bowie. It only splits once the finish is picked, so a set finish such as ★ Bowie Knife | Scorched turns up far more rarely than that.
- When was the Operation Wildfire Case released?
- The Operation Wildfire Case was released on February 17, 2016. Besides its brighter Bowie finishes, the knife pool also takes in the camouflage patterns ★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh, ★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest, ★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT and ★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked, as well as ★ Bowie Knife | Stained, which completes the list of Bowie finishes.
- Is the Operation Wildfire Case worth it?
- We leave that to the expected value block on this page, taken before fees. It adds up each item's price times its drop odds, so the knife tier counts only for the thin slice of opens it lands on. The ROI and profit chance figures beside it read the same result against the cost of an open.
